Wednesday, December 14, 2005

Anomalies Report: War Watch - Iran

Iran, West head for confrontation

By repeatedly calling for Israel's destruction and slamming the door on a nuclear compromise, Iran's hurtling president has put Tehran on a collision course with the West, diplomats and analysts warned, AFP reports.

In his latest anti-Israeli assault, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad dismissed the Holocaust as a "myth" and said the Jewish state should be moved as far away as Alaska -- views that one European envoy posted in Tehran described as "way beyond political incorrectness".

"At first, we were tempted to put it down to inexperience or a simple gaffe," he said of the firebrand president's string of outbursts, which began in October with a call for Israel to be "wiped off the map".

http://www.drudgereport.com/flash5.htm

Theory 1: President Ahmadinejad, furious about the West's involvement in Iran's nuclear program, is blowing off steam at Israel, long the scorn of most Arabic Middle Eastern (AME) nations.

Theory 2: President Ahmadinejad is attempting to provoke war with Israel and thus get the military support of any AME nations who are chomping at the bit to get into a shooting war with their long-time rival. This will help provide regional support for Iran prior to any US-led strike on their nuclear capabilities.

Theory 3: The Iranian president is attempting to provoke war with the US, getting us to attack while US public opinion is swayed against further military action in the Middle East. Any action would get the immediate condemnation of the American people and almost definitely ensure that the next US president would much less interested in getting American assets involved in this theatre.

This is depending of course on how Iran handles the strikes that are almost assuredly coming down the line. If Iran uses any kind of nukes, all bets are off.

None of this is good. My vote is for Theory 2.

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